14

BYE

CAR COL FRE HAW

WBD 64
ADE 121
GEE
GCS
7:40PMFRI
June 12
GMHBA Stad.
MEL
ESS
1:15PMSAT
June 13
MCG
NTH
WCE
4:15PMSAT
June 13
Optus Stad.
PTA
SYD
7:35PMSAT
June 13
Adelaide Oval
RIC
BRL
1:10PMSUN
June 14
Ninja Stad.
STK
GWS
3:15PMSUN
June 14
Marvel Stad.

2013 Prep - 2012's Most Improved

11 / 02 / 2013

What we have here is a list of the most improved players in 2012, based on average increase over 2011. The list features a lot predictable names such as Beams, Deledio and Cotchin. These are the players many coaches expected to improve and backed throughout the majority of last season. These same players have also been chosen as premium picks for 2013 as they are now bracketed with the elite players of Dream Team.

What makes this list interesting are the lesser known improvers mixed in with the rest. These players have definitely gone under the radar and can turn out to be unique inclusions into any coache's team, as long as they're willing to take the risk.

Among those lesser known players are Kieren Jack, Liam Anthony and Callan Ward, who have all increased on their 2011 average by a significant amount. All three are currently in less than two percent of team and they're only a handful of improved players being ignored. Scattered throughout the list are players being ignored for more popular picks at the same price, so if you're looking for a potential breakout player which seperates your team from the pack, read on.

Criteria for most improved players:

  • Minimum of eight games played during 2012
  • An average score of 85 and above
  • A minimum average increase of 10%

Brad Ebert($511,900)

As of writing this article, Brad Ebert has only been selected in 1.2% of Dream Teams so far, placing him in a prime position as one of the unique picks of 2013. Though, why is Ebert being ignored by the majority of coaches?

Even though he's a 60% improvement over his 2011 season, Ebert's form dropped off in the second half of last year. He went from averaging 108 in the first eleven games to only 91 in his last eleven, making it one of the biggest form drop offs in 2012. In itself a 91 average still means that Ebert improved significantly over the previous season, though some may question if that form drop is a better reflection of his realistic output or whether it was just the long season taking its toll on his body.

He's one player you should keep an eye out for during the upcoming pre-season competition.

Position MID
Average 2012 99.4
Games Played 22
Average 2011 62.0
Games Played 22
Average Difference +37
Percentage 60%
Shane Tuck($538,900)
Position MID
Average 2012 104.6
Games Played 22
Average 2011 70.8
Games Played 10
Average Difference +34
Percentage 48%
Chris Masten($436,000)
Position MID
Average 2012 85.5
Games Played 23
Average 2011 58.6
Games Played 13
Average Difference +27
Percentage 46%
Patrick Dangerfield($525,000)

Dangerfield's start to 2012 was definitely shakey, with many coaches likely thinking twice about his value and whether he has the tank to step it toe-to-toe with the elites of the competition. Fortunately those doubts were short lived as Dangerfield began tearing packs and racking up the Dream Team points.

Dangerfield's finish to the season was sublime, with seven consecutive scores above 100. This led to a 10% increase of his average Dream Team score in the second half of the season

At the time this article was written, Dangerfield has been selected in nearly 13% of all teams. He's no longer what one would consider a 'unique' Dream Team pick, as many coaches are now on board hoping for a repeat effort by the young Adelaide midfielder.

Position MID
Average 2012 100.6
Games Played 23
Average 2011 70.7
Games Played 22
Average Difference +30
Percentage 42%
David Armitage($459,500)

Reports are in that Armitage has had a top notch preseason and is ready to dominate the St Kilda midfield in 2013. There's no doubt that the St Kilda midfield is aging. Lenny Hayes, Montagna and Dal Santo can still deliver qaulity performances, though the club is now looking at the next generation of talent to lead the club for years to come. David Armitage is a front runner to be one of those talents.

Compared to 2012, Armitage has improved considerably as a player, which reflects with his average. His score spread is pretty decent too, with an average of five marks and tackles per game, as well as twenty disposals. If he manages to increase his disposals per game up to 25 and can replicate Hayes' tackling ferocity, it's not hard to believe that Armitage can be pushing for an average of 100+ in 2013.

Position MID
Average 2012 89.2
Games Played 21
Average 2011 65.9
Games Played 22
Average Difference +23
Percentage 35%
Andrew Gaff($446,100)
Position MID
Average 2012 86.3
Games Played 23
Average 2011 65.4
Games Played 17
Average Difference +21
Percentage 32%
Harley Bennell($438,200)

Harley Bennell is without doubt one of the future stars at Gold Coast. He averaged a respectable 85 Dream Team points in 2012 and managed to play every game of the season. As the team improves, he'll improve and as he improves, he'll continue in his progression into becoming a great Dream Team midfielder.

If you're looking for a unique player who may pay off, Bennell should be not be ignored, as only 2.5% of teams have chosen him so far for their 2013 Dream Team.

Position MID
Average 2012 85.0
Games Played 22
Average 2011 67.2
Games Played 14
Average Difference +18
Percentage 26%
Kieren Jack($505,800)
Position MID
Average 2012 97.5
Games Played 23
Average 2011 78.4
Games Played 18
Average Difference +19
Percentage 24%
Liam Anthony($499,200)
Position MID
Average 2012 94.1
Games Played 19
Average 2011 76.5
Games Played 13
Average Difference +18
Percentage 23%
Jarrad Waite($454,800)

It's no secret that Waite's career has recently been plagued by serious injuries. He missed out on a considerable amount of games in 2009, 2011 and 2012 and so it's hard to judge where his form is currently at. With that said, six of his eleven games were above 90 last year, which shows that he can still be Dream Team relevants long as he manages to stay injury free.

At his price range, it's hard to find a good enough reason to seriously consider him given his recent history.

Position FWD
Average 2012 88.3
Games Played 11
Average 2011 72.0
Games Played 12
Average Difference +16
Percentage 23%
Dayne Beams($599,400)

Most people expected big things from Dayne Beams, but it came as a surprise to many at how good he really is. He scored 110+ an astonishing 15 times throughout last season, making him one of the most must have players of the competition. The only two players to exceed his Dream Team average were Gary Ablett and Dane Swan, while Beams averaged higher than Boyd, Watson and Pendlebury.

If you can't afford either Ablett or Swan, Beams is the next best thing. His price is well justified and he's sure to continue his stellar form into 2013.

Position MID
Average 2012 116.1
Games Played 22
Average 2011 95.1
Games Played 16
Average Difference +21
Percentage 22%
Brett Deledio($568,600)
Position MID
Average 2012 110.4
Games Played 22
Average 2011 91.4
Games Played 22
Average Difference +19
Percentage 21%
Josh Kennedy($523,900)

Josh Kennedy had a very successful 2012, both on the field and in fantasy football. In 2011, he showed that he had the potential to become a quality Dream Team player, though his overall average was brought down during patches of inconsistency.

That all changed in 2012, where he spent more time running through the midfield and reached his potential by becoming a quality all-around player. Last season he scored in the 90s eight times, while scoring 100+ a total of seven times, with his overall average been boosted by massive scores of 136, 147 and 153. This indicates there's still room for improvement, since you would rather have a player who can get 100+ most weeks instead of a mix of 90s and low 100s mixed with some 130+. Over 5% of coaches so far seem to think he can improve in that regard.

Position MID
Average 2012 103.0
Games Played 23
Average 2011 86.0
Games Played 24
Average Difference +17
Percentage 20%
Beau Waters($472,100)
Position DEF
Average 2012 87.9
Games Played 20
Average 2011 73.4
Games Played 11
Average Difference +15
Percentage 20%
Steele Sidebottom($539,200)
Position MID
Average 2012 104.3
Games Played 22
Average 2011 86.8
Games Played 25
Average Difference +18
Percentage 20%
Callan Ward($501,300)

As expected, Callan Ward's Dream Team average saw a significant increase as he became one of the prime Western Sydney midfielders in 2012. Even though his consistency isn't always up to par, Ward was a solid pick that rewarded many coaches who chose to take the risk in his acquisition.

In 2013, it's safe to assume that as the team around him improves, he'll also improve. The pressure will slowly dissipate as more attention will begin to fall on the young midfielders surrounding him. Though unfortunately that's not always how it works out.

Regardless, if you're looking for a player who's set to crack the 100+ average, Ward is one to seriously consider, since less than one percent of coaches have him on their radar in 2013.

Position MID
Average 2012 97.3
Games Played 20
Average 2011 81.7
Games Played 22
Average Difference +16
Percentage 19%
Trent Cotchin($570,200)
Position MID
Average 2012 110.7
Games Played 22
Average 2011 93.7
Games Played 22
Average Difference +17
Percentage 18%
Shaun Grigg($505,100)
Position MID
Average 2012 98.0
Games Played 22
Average 2011 83.5
Games Played 21
Average Difference +15
Percentage 17%
Will Minson($445,300)
Position RUC
Average 2012 86.4
Games Played 21
Average 2011 73.9
Games Played 9
Average Difference +13
Percentage 17%
Danny Stanley($476,400)
Position DEF
Average 2012 92.5
Games Played 13
Average 2011 79.4
Games Played 22
Average Difference +13
Percentage 16%
Kane Cornes($473,000)
Position MID
Average 2012 91.8
Games Played 22
Average 2011 79.1
Games Played 17
Average Difference +13
Percentage 16%
Jobe Watson($579,400)
Position MID
Average 2012 112.5
Games Played 22
Average 2011 98.0
Games Played 17
Average Difference +15
Percentage 15%
Patrick Ryder($465,100)

Paddy Ryder went under the radar last year after a very disappointing 2011 season. Last year, he scored above 90 ten times, which is a very respectable tally, though the same can be said for a number of ruckman, as there were many great choices across the board last season.

Paddy Ryder's case is a bit difficult. He's in that awkward price range for ruckman; he's not too far from the elite priced ruckman and he's not much higher than other potential breakout ruckman. It seems coaches are opting more for a premium and a rookie for their ruck combination this year, which leaves Patrick Ryder out of the equation. He shouldn't be considered up forward, as there are many other safer picks in a similiar price range.

Position FWD, RUC
Average 2012 90.3
Games Played 15
Average 2011 79.5
Games Played 23
Average Difference +11
Percentage 14%
Michael Barlow($495,300)
Position MID
Average 2012 97.5
Games Played 23
Average 2011 85.9
Games Played 9
Average Difference +12
Percentage 14%
Luke Shuey($488,100)

Shuey, although a major improver, cannot be a reliable pick in 2013 due to his inconsistencies last year. One week he'd score high, the next week? Back down again. In fact, Shuey only increased his score back to back once throughout the whole season.

Many great players start out as an inconsistent mess. Shuey is at that stage right now. Either he'll stabilize and start to be more reliable on a weekly basis or he'll continue his inconsistent ways for at least another season. Shuey is one of the trickier choices for coaches this season, since it can go either way. Less than 3% of coaches have included him in their team so far, so taking this big gamble may pay off in the long run.

Position MID
Average 2012 94.7
Games Played 20
Average 2011 82.8
Games Played 25
Average Difference +12
Percentage 14%
Nic Naitanui($442,800)

As Dean Cox enters his thirteenth season of football, Nic Nat enters his fourth. There's no mistaking the fact that last year was almost a changing of the guard, as Naitanui became more of a primary ruckman and Cox began spending more time up forward. Naitanui increased his hitout average from 20 to 25, just one hitout per game behind Dean's average last year.

Since debuting, Naitanui has been steadily increasing as a Dream Team prospect. His average went from 62 to 76 to 86, with a very good chance of reaching a Dream Team average of 95+ in his fourth season of footy. He's priced at an attractive $442K and like many other ruckmen, is now dual position.

Dream Team coaches seem to share the same sentiment regarding Naitanui, as he has so far been included in 11% of teams. I guess if you're looking for some extra cash and some potential, look no further than Nic Nat to fill a spot in your ruck.

Position FWD, RUC
Average 2012 85.5
Games Played 21
Average 2011 75.6
Games Played 23
Average Difference +10
Percentage 13%
Gary Ablett($642,500)

There aren't many players who receive a 10% Dream Team increase when they're already averaging over 110+. Ablett is one of those players who can do wrong out on the field, both in a footy sense and a Dream Team sense. He dominates opponents and fetches a lot of uncontested ball too as his teammates opt to use him at any opportunity.

There's not much to be said other than the fact that if you could afford him, get him.

Position MID
Average 2012 124.7
Games Played 20
Average 2011 112.2
Games Played 20
Average Difference +13
Percentage 11%
Scott Selwood($503,500)
Position MID
Average 2012 97.1
Games Played 23
Average 2011 87.2
Games Played 25
Average Difference +10
Percentage 11%
Dane Swan($688,100)

Like Ablett, Swan somehow managed to increase his average by 10%, even though he averaged an astonishing 120 the year before.

The question many will be asking though, is he worth picking up for round one? He's $46K more expensive than Ablett though only averages eight more per game. It'll take an enormous effort to maintain a price of $680K, so if you're looking for some spare cash, it may be worth it to downgrade to Ablett or Beams and get another premium pick with the extra money.

Position MID
Average 2012 132.1
Games Played 19
Average 2011 119.8
Games Played 24
Average Difference +12
Percentage 10%

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